Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AZ5 - 0Excelsior
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
20
We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 SBV Excelsior
Having now gone three games across all competitions without a victory, AZ will need to return to winning ways as soon as possible to avoid losing any more ground in the title race. We are tipping them to cruise to all three points at the sound of the final whistle here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
74.7% ( 0.42) | 15.57% ( -0.25) | 9.73% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.39% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.71) | 35.83% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.08% ( 0.78) | 57.91% ( -0.78) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.87% ( 0.26) | 8.13% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.65) | 28.52% ( -0.65) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.85% ( 0.16) | 45.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.95% ( 0.13) | 81.05% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 74.69%
SBV Excelsior 9.73%
Draw 15.57%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 74.69% | 1-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.57% | 0-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.73% |
How you voted: AZ vs Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
90.4%Draw
5.8%SBV Excelsior
3.8%52
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 11.15am
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
Sep 24, 2017 3.45pm
