Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Excelsior1 - 4Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Utrecht 1-0 Excelsior
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Volendam
Thursday, January 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Thursday, January 26 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Ajax
Off the back of an underwhelming run of results, Ajax simply cannot afford to drop any more points at the moment, making this weekend's clash a must-win for them. We are backing the Dutch giants to rise up to the occasion and carry the day at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.94%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-3 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Ajax |
10.65% ( -0.44) | 14.41% ( -0.17) | 74.94% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.38% ( -0.5) | 26.62% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.99% ( -0.64) | 47.01% ( 0.65) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -1.11) | 36.74% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.47% ( -1.13) | 73.53% ( 1.13) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.01% ( -0) | 5.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 10.65%
Ajax 74.94%
Draw 14.41%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 2.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.74% Total : 10.65% | 1-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 14.41% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 8.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.18% ( 0.25)0-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 5.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.76% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 3.25% ( -0)0-5 @ 3.24% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.09)2-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)1-6 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.28% Total : 74.94% |
How you voted: Excelsior vs Ajax
SBV Excelsior
15.6%Draw
12.5%Ajax
71.9%32
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 7pm
Ajax
7-1
Excelsior
Agrafiotis (90')
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
Dec 14, 2017 7.45pm
