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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
55.04% | 22.91% | 22.05% |
Both teams to score 55.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% | 44.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% | 67.13% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.86% | 16.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.42% | 45.58% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% | 34.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% | 71.04% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.03% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 5.93% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |