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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
26.14% ( -0.3) | 23.38% ( 0.06) | 50.48% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( -0.54) | 42.81% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.79% ( -0.54) | 65.21% ( 0.54) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.18% ( -0.52) | 29.82% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.1% ( -0.63) | 65.9% ( 0.62) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( -0.11) | 17.06% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% ( -0.2) | 47.23% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 26.14% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |