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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 13.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam |
67.67% ( 0) | 18.48% ( -0) | 13.85% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.51% ( -0) | 38.49% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.22% ( 0) | 60.78% ( -0) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.56% | 10.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.97% ( 0) | 34.03% ( -0) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.02% ( -0.01) | 39.98% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.37% ( -0) | 76.63% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 8.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.36% 4-0 @ 4.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.37% 5-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 67.67% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.48% | 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |