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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
32.25% ( 0.02) | 23.91% ( 0) | 43.84% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.56% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.45% ( -0.02) | 41.55% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.05% ( -0.02) | 63.95% ( 0.02) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% | 25.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.28% ( -0) | 59.72% ( 0) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( -0.01) | 19.2% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( -0.03) | 50.89% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |