MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 09:01:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Go Ahead Eagles

AZ
5 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

Clasie (4'), Pavlidis (15'), van Bommel (51'), de Wit (87' pen.), Lahdo (90+3')
de Wit (16'), Hatzidiakos (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rommens (66')
Amofa (2'), Nauber (34'), Deijl (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Santa Coloma 0-1 AZ
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles

 AZ Alkmaar amassed 27 more points than Go Ahead Eagles last season, and they have a very impressive recent record against their opponents, winning the last five matches on the spin. As such, we expect Jansen's side to record a comfortable victory on Sunday afternoon, kicking off their Eredivisie campaign in perfect fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGo Ahead Eagles
60.16% (-1.599 -1.6) 20.64% (0.264 0.26) 19.2% (1.331 1.33)
Both teams to score 58.33% (1.646 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.68% (0.964 0.96)38.31% (-0.969 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (1.017 1.02)60.59% (-1.022 -1.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.155 -0.16)12.39% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (-0.32 -0.32)38.26% (0.315 0.31)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.991 1.99)33.41% (-1.995 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (2.124 2.12)70.04% (-2.129 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 60.16%
    Go Ahead Eagles 19.2%
    Draw 20.64%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGo Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.534 -0.53)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-1 @ 6.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 9.48% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.271 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.64%
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.289 0.29)
0-1 @ 4.54% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.2 0.2)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.2%

How you voted: AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Go Ahead Eagles
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Thor Willumsson (90+2' pen.)
Pavlidis (38'), Mihailovic (57'), Sugawara (87'), Buurmeester (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
AZ
2-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Pavlidis (70'), Van Brederode (86')
de Wit (80')

Adekanye (72')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 20
Go Ahead Eagles
1-4
AZ
Brouwers (25')
Beukema (28', 85'), Pavlidis (33', 42')
Midtsjo (15')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
AZ
5-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Karlsson (4', 83' pen.), De Wit (29'), Aboukhlal (86'), Reijnders (90+1')
de Wit (51'), Pavlidis (58')

Hahn (82'), Deijl (90'), Nauber (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2017 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
1-3
AZ
Antonia (89' pen.)
Achenteh (81')
Weghorst (69'), Jahanbakhsh (85', 93')
Jahanbakhsh (81'), Weghorst (81'), Johansson (88'), Bel Hassani (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
> Eredivisie Full Table


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