Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 8pm UK

Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
3 - 1
Excelsior

Thor Willumsson (39'), Adekanye (41'), Lidberg (60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lamprou (72')
Ayoub (34'), Baas (54'), Kharchouch (70'), Goudmijn (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, October 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 AZ
Sunday, October 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Go Ahead Eagles have the upper hand in recent editions of this fixture, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we can see the hosts just about seeing off the threat of the away side en route to a hard-fought triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	SBV Excelsior
57.05% ( 0.04)	22.33% ( -0.01)	20.62% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56% (

-0.02)

44% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.61% (

-0.02)

66.38% (

0.02)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

0.01)

15.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.17% (

0.01)

43.83% (

-0.01)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

-0.05)

35.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0.05)

72.04% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 57.05%

SBV Excelsior 20.62%

Draw 22.32%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.05%	1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.32%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.62%