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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Cambuur |
42.1% ( -0.85) | 27.1% ( 0.25) | 30.8% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 49.44% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.29% ( -0.76) | 55.71% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.14% ( -0.63) | 76.85% ( 0.62) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.79) | 26.13% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.79% ( -1.07) | 61.2% ( 1.06) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.92% ( 0.04) | 33.07% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% ( 0.04) | 69.66% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Cambuur |
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |