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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
39.48% ( -0.84) | 25.36% ( 0.41) | 35.16% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 56.3% ( -1.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.54% ( -1.81) | 47.46% ( 1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.33% ( -1.7) | 69.67% ( 1.7) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.23% ( -1.22) | 23.77% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.07% ( -1.79) | 57.92% ( 1.79) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( -0.6) | 26.14% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.79% ( -0.82) | 61.21% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 2% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |