MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:01:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
 
Groningen

Excelsior
1 - 0
Groningen

El Yaakoubi (69')
Azarkan (37'), Driouech (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van Gelderen (40'), Suslov (61'), Dybvik Maatta (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 5-1 Excelsior
Sunday, November 13 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 2-3 Sittard
Sunday, November 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Groningen

Excelsior and Groningen are neck and neck in the league table, suggesting that a close contest is on the cards here. We are tipping the sides to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGroningen
42.54% (0.301 0.3) 24.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.25% (-0.305 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.9% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)42.57% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)64.97% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.099000000000004 0.1)20.19% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (0.163 0.16)52.49% (-0.171 -0.17)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)24.94% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.42% (-0.302 -0.3)59.57% (0.296 0.3)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 42.54%
    Groningen 33.25%
    Draw 24.2%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawGroningen
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.045 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.54%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Groningen

SBV Excelsior
47.8%
Draw
34.8%
Groningen
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Niemeijer (23'), Baas (69')
Dallinga (105')
Ngonge (45+1'), El Hankouri (85' pen.), Strand Larsen (111', 115')
Duarte (64')
Apr 6, 2019 6.45pm
Nov 2, 2018 7pm
Excelsior
2-4
Groningen
Koolwijk (36'), Bruins (59' pen.)
Hadouir (42')
Mahi (26'), Doan (29'), Cassierra (51'), Pohl (75')
Apr 29, 2018 1.30pm
Groningen
4-0
Excelsior
Van Weert (42', 73'), Memisevic (45'), Doan (71')

Koolwijk (35'), Mattheij (45')
Dec 17, 2017 3.45pm
Excelsior
2-0
Groningen
Massop (8'), Elbers (83')

Reis (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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