Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Excelsior0 - 1Heerenveen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 Utrecht
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 Heerenveen
The teams have had little problem finding the back of the net this term, so we anticipate goals at both ends here. That said, we are tipping Heerenveen to get the better of their hosts and carry the day. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heerenveen |
28.13% ( 0.07) | 23.72% ( 0.02) | 48.15% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% ( -0.03) | 42.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( -0.03) | 65.21% ( 0.04) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.04) | 28.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.04) | 64.09% ( -0.04) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.04) | 17.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.08) | 48.77% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior 28.13%
Heerenveen 48.15%
Draw 23.71%
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 48.15% |
How you voted: Excelsior vs Heerenveen
SBV Excelsior
10.3%Draw
20.7%Heerenveen
69.0%29
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 24, 2018 6.45pm
Sep 16, 2017 5.30pm
Mar 11, 2017 7.45pm
Excelsior
4-1
Heerenveen
Elbers (15'), Mattheij (42'), Van Duinen (48'), Hasselbaink (92')
Bruins (3'), Massop (32'), van Duinen (37')
Bruins (3'), Massop (32'), van Duinen (37')
Form Guide
