MX23RW : Friday, January 31 00:16:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
Excelsior

Vitesse
0 - 0
Excelsior


van Ginkel (41'), Bero (53')
FT

Agrafiotis (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-4 Vitesse
Sunday, April 16 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 2-0 SBV Excelsior

With a chance to effectively guarantee their top-flight status for next season, Vitesse will need no further incentive for this weekend's clash. The home side have turned a corner in recent weeks and we are backing them to carry the day in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
VitesseDrawSBV Excelsior
64.4% (-0.883 -0.88) 20.67% (0.402 0.4) 14.94% (0.486 0.49)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (-0.749 -0.75)46.09% (0.753 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (-0.711 -0.71)68.39% (0.71600000000001 0.72)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (-0.492 -0.49)13.58% (0.495 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (-0.996 -1)40.69% (1.001 1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.81% (0.228 0.23)43.19% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.55% (0.19 0.19)79.45% (-0.185 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 64.4%
    SBV Excelsior 14.94%
    Draw 20.67%
VitesseDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 11.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 64.4%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.192 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.67%
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 14.94%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Excelsior

Vitesse
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 7pm
gameweek 2
Excelsior
3-1
Vitesse
Kharchouch (14', 20'), Goudmijn (76')
Frederiksen (29')
Tronstad (90+6')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Excelsior
0-1
Vitesse
Openda (90+1')
Bazoer (20')
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
gameweek 18
Vitesse
3-2
Excelsior
Foor (6'), Linssen (36'), Van der Werff (67')
Darfalou (61'), van der Werff (72')
Edwards (51'), Schouten (69')
Bruins (17')
Oct 20, 2018 5.30pm
gameweek 9
Excelsior
2-0
Vitesse
Clark (40' og.), Mattheij (70')
Stevens (91')
Feb 17, 2018 5.30pm
Vitesse
1-2
Excelsior
Castaignos (2')
Oude Kotte (81'), Serero (84'), van der Werff (89')
Faik (44'), Van Duinen (67')
van Duinen (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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