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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-3 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Feyenoord |
15.32% ( 0.38) | 17.83% ( 0.33) | 66.84% ( -0.71) |
Both teams to score 60.35% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.07% ( -0.83) | 31.92% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.52% ( -0.97) | 53.47% ( 0.97) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% ( -0.08) | 33.78% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.56% ( -0.08) | 70.44% ( 0.08) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.13% ( -0.38) | 8.86% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.66% ( -0.92) | 30.34% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.32% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.83% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.67% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 2-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.36% Total : 66.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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