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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
46.11% ( 0.82) | 22.24% ( -0.05) | 31.66% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 66.53% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.4% ( -0.09) | 33.61% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.59% ( -0.1) | 55.42% ( 0.1) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.81% ( 0.26) | 15.19% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.19% ( 0.48) | 43.81% ( -0.48) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0.46) | 21.56% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -0.71) | 54.63% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.55% Total : 31.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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