MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:23:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
2 - 2
AZ

de Jong (68', 85' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lahdo (41'), Meerdink (74')
Moller Wolfe (27'), Clasie (76'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

While AZ ended 2024 with an excellent run of results, it is difficult to back against PSV on their home patch, as they have won every league match at Philips Stadion this season and are unbeaten in the top flight at the venue since November 2022. We feel the hosts will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
70.75% (-0.215 -0.22) 16.6% (0.106 0.11) 12.65% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.77% (-0.209 -0.21)32.23% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.17% (-0.246 -0.25)53.83% (0.256 0.26)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)8.09% (0.1019 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.56% (-0.245 -0.25)28.44% (0.254 0.25)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.031000000000006 0.03)37.59% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)74.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 70.75%
    AZ Alkmaar 12.65%
    Draw 16.6%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.06% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 70.75%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.6%
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 12.65%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
97.4%
Draw
2.6%
AZ Alkmaar
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 9
AZ
1-2
PSV
Kasius (90')
Moller Wolfe (10')
De Jong (15'), Lang (22')
Apr 6, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSV
5-1
AZ
Bakayoko (9'), De Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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