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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
70.75% (![]() | 16.6% (![]() | 12.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.77% (![]() | 32.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.17% (![]() | 53.83% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.9% (![]() | 8.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.56% (![]() | 28.44% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.4% (![]() | 37.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.63% (![]() | 74.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-0 @ 9.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.41% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.6% | 1-2 @ 3.66% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 12.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |