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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
70.75% ( -0.22) | 16.6% ( 0.11) | 12.65% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.77% ( -0.21) | 32.23% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.17% ( -0.25) | 53.83% ( 0.26) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.9% ( -0.09) | 8.09% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.56% ( -0.25) | 28.44% ( 0.25) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.4% ( 0.03) | 37.59% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.63% ( 0.03) | 74.37% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.6% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 12.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |