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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
2 - 2
AZ

de Jong (68', 85' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lahdo (41'), Meerdink (74')
Moller Wolfe (27'), Clasie (76'), (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Feyenoord
Sunday, December 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 FC Twente
Saturday, December 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

While AZ ended 2024 with an excellent run of results, it is difficult to back against PSV on their home patch, as they have won every league match at Philips Stadion this season and are unbeaten in the top flight at the venue since November 2022. We feel the hosts will add to that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
70.75% (-0.215 -0.22) 16.6% (0.106 0.11) 12.65% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.77% (-0.209 -0.21)32.23% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.17% (-0.246 -0.25)53.83% (0.256 0.26)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)8.09% (0.1019 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.56% (-0.245 -0.25)28.44% (0.254 0.25)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.031000000000006 0.03)37.59% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)74.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 70.75%
    AZ Alkmaar 12.65%
    Draw 16.6%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.06% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 70.75%
1-1 @ 7.48% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.6%
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.98% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 12.65%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
97.4%
Draw
2.6%
AZ Alkmaar
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 9
AZ
1-2
PSV
Kasius (90')
Moller Wolfe (10')
De Jong (15'), Lang (22')
Apr 6, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSV
5-1
AZ
Bakayoko (9'), De Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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