Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
for
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League
for
We said: NAC Breda 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
With both teams in good form ahead of this contest, we expect a hard-fought contest. Nevertheless, although NAC Breda will be keen to build on their unexpected position in seventh place, we feel that they will fall short against Martens' team on Sunday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
24.17% ( -0.04) | 24.38% ( -0.04) | 51.45% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.13) | 48.87% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.12) | 70.96% ( -0.12) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( 0.03) | 34.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.58% ( 0.03) | 71.42% ( -0.03) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( 0.08) | 18.98% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.47% ( 0.14) | 50.53% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.17% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.09% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.45% |
