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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 4.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
85.96% ( -0.09) | 9.55% ( 0.07) | 4.49% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.59% ( -0.24) | 26.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.27% ( -0.3) | 46.73% ( 0.3) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.85% ( -0.06) | 4.15% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.65% ( -0.17) | 17.35% ( 0.17) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.66% ( -0.09) | 52.34% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.77% ( -0.06) | 86.22% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
3-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 85.95% | 1-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.55% | 1-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Heracles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |