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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
43.48% ( 0) | 23.22% ( 0) | 33.3% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 63.56% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.2% | 37.8% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.95% | 60.05% ( 0) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% ( 0) | 17.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.42% ( 0) | 48.58% ( 0) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( 0) | 22.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.72% ( -0) | 56.28% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.88% Total : 43.48% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 22 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
4 | Feyenoord | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
5 | FC Twente | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 18 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 17 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 15 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 14 |
10 | Willem II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 11 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
14 | Groningen | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
15 | Heracles | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |