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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
69.83% ( 0.06) | 17.53% ( -0.03) | 12.63% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.59% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.06% ( 0.07) | 36.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.87% ( 0.07) | 59.13% ( -0.07) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.5% ( 0.03) | 9.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.14% ( 0.07) | 31.86% ( -0.07) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.21% | 40.79% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.64% ( -0) | 77.36% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Vitesse |
2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 69.83% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.29% 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 12.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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