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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Cambuur |
33.37% | 23.8% | 42.82% |
Both teams to score 61.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.4% | 40.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.02% | 62.98% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% | 23.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% | 58.15% |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.75% | 19.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.04% | 50.96% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 7.76% 1-0 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.3% Total : 42.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |