MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 23:33:04| >> :120:72326:72326:
Ajax
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 2
Bodo/Glimt

van den Boomen (90+1' pen.), Berghuis (90+7')
Gooijer (85'), Henderson (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gronbaek (16', 63')
Moe (37')
Bjortuft (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Ajax and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Ajax 3-2 Bodo/Glimt

Given their performance at the weekend, Ajax feel in disarray once again. Nevertheless, they are never short of goals, and we are backing them to run out narrow victors in a thriller that will leave the second leg very much in the balance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawBodo/Glimt
43.16% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.7% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 74.35% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.18% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.16% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)43.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)12.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)38.53% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.01% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 43.16%
    Bodo/Glimt 36.14%
    Draw 20.7%
AjaxDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 43.16%
1-1 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 7.3%
3-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 3.56% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 3.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Ajax vs Bodo/Glimt

Ajax
75.3%
Draw
8.9%
Bodo/Glimt
15.8%
146
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
20-19
Bears
FT
Raiders
19-34
Dolphins
FT
Colts
28-27
Jets
FT
Jags
6-52
Lions
FT
Rams
28-22
Patriots
FT
Browns
14-35
Saints
FT
Ravens
16-18
Steelers
FT
Vikings
23-13
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!