MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 03:32:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
PSV

Ajax
1 - 1
PSV

Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Given the plethora of attacking talent on display, we are backing both teams to get on the scoresheet here. That said, we can also see PSV just about edging out their hosts to claim all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
42.17% (0.86 0.86) 21.69% (-0.128 -0.13) 36.13% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 70.33% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.69% (0.53 0.53)29.31% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.64% (0.644 0.64)50.35% (-0.644 -0.64)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.08% (0.536 0.54)14.91% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.7% (1.01 1.01)43.29% (-1.012 -1.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)17.33% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-0.148 -0.15)47.71% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 42.17%
    PSV Eindhoven 36.13%
    Draw 21.69%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.061 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7.19% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.66% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
29.5%
Draw
23.0%
PSV Eindhoven
47.5%
61
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
5-2
Ajax
Lozano (20', 60', 72'), De Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
Van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
PSV win 3-2 on penalties
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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