MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:10:10| >> :600:2228223:2228223:
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Ajax

Bodo/Glimt
1 - 2
Ajax

Berg (83')
Gronbaek (57'), Zugelj (79'), Gundersen (90+1'), Evjen (96')
Gronbaek (65')
FT
(aet)
Berghuis (34'), Taylor (114')
Rensch (57'), Ramaj (79')
Sutalo (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We say: Bodo/Glimt 2-3 Ajax (Ajax to win 5-4 on aggregate)

There will surely be goals in this contest, we should cannot predict with any great certainty where they shall go. That said, for all of their vulnerabilities in defence, we would be surprised if Ajax do not showcase their superior attacking quality to edge through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.91%) and 3-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.16%).

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawAjax
48.11% (-0.294 -0.29) 20.2% (0.099 0.1) 31.69% (0.191 0.19)
Both teams to score 74.55% (-0.289 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.69% (-0.402 -0.4)23.3% (0.397 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.33% (-0.541 -0.54)42.66% (0.53599999999999 0.54)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.27% (-0.227 -0.23)10.73% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.32% (-0.503 -0.5)34.67% (0.499 0.5)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.113 -0.11)16.49% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (-0.203 -0.2)46.2% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 48.11%
    Ajax 31.69%
    Draw 20.2%
Bodo/GlimtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 5.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 3.95% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 48.11%
2-2 @ 7.16% (0.011 0.01)
1-1 @ 7.12% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 3.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 1.77% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.028 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 31.69%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Ajax

Bodo/Glimt
30.0%
Draw
18.0%
Ajax
52.0%
100
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Ajax
2-2
Bodo/Glimt
Van den Boomen (90+1' pen.), Berghuis (90+7')
Gooijer (85'), Henderson (87')
Gronbaek (16', 63')
Moe (37')
Bjortuft (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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