Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
Parma0 - 1Genoa
We said: Parma 2-1 Genoa
Having shown clear potential and come close to picking up several more points, Parma should finally capitalise against Genoa, taking advantage of their visitors' woes. Short of numbers and low on confidence, the Grifone will suffer another defeat, leaving them stuck to the foot of the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Genoa |
53.55% ( -0.1) | 24.17% ( 0.02) | 22.28% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
