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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Lazio
2 - 1
Cagliari

Dia (2'), Zaccagni (76' pen.)
Noslin (25'), Lazzari (61'), Rovella (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Luvumbo (41')
Adopo (9'), Augello (17'), Mina (29'), Zappa (49'), Luvumbo (64'), Luperto (74')
Adopo (78'), Mina (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 1-5 Lazio
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Cagliari

In their present form, Lazio should ease past a toothless Cagliari side on home turf, where they are particularly tough to beat. The hosts have several attacking weapons to call upon, whereas their struggling visitors average under a goal per game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
62.85% (0.267 0.27) 21.9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 15.24% (-0.232 -0.23)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.403 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (-0.266 -0.27)50.6% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.234 -0.23)72.51% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.49% (-0.477 -0.48)45.51% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (-0.378 -0.38)81.33% (0.379 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 62.85%
    Cagliari 15.24%
    Draw 21.9%
LazioDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 13.16% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 12.25% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.54% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 62.85%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.075 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 15.24%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari

Lazio
90.2%
Draw
8.3%
Cagliari
1.5%
132
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Cagliari
1-3
Lazio
Gaetano (51')
Makoumbou (52')
Aresti (90+5')
Deiola (26' og.), Immobile (49'), Anderson (65')
Immobile (45+1'), Romagnoli (67'), Vecino (90+2')
Dec 2, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Pedro (8')

Hatzidiakos (12'), Nandez (75')
Makoumbou (27')
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Cagliari
0-3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')
Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lazio
2-2
Cagliari
Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')
Feb 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Immobile (61')
Correa (69'), Inzaghi (87'), Parolo (87')

Nandez (31'), Pedro (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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