Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Austria Vienna 1-3 Villarreal
After a convincing win over their Austrian opposition last week, it is hard to look past Villarreal for this one, even after their uninspiring defeat to Real Sociedad on the weekend.
With home advantage for Austria Vienna, however, and needing to protect their goal difference, we are expecting to see a slightly more competitive affair.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.66% . A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.45%) . The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
Result Austria Vienna Draw Villarreal 28.65% ( 0.2) 27.69% ( 0.04) 43.66% ( -0.23)
Both teams to score 46.73% ( 0)
41.33% ( -0.05) 58.66% ( 0.05)
20.79% ( -0.04) 79.21% ( 0.04)
63.73% ( 0.13) 36.27% ( -0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.94% ( 0.13) 73.06% ( -0.13)
73.32% ( -0.14) 26.68% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.07% ( -0.19) 61.93% ( 0.19)
Austria Vienna 28.65%
Villarreal 43.66%
Draw 27.68%
Austria Vienna Draw Villarreal 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.65% 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.68% 0-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.66%
How you voted: Austria Vienna vs Villarreal
Austria Vienna
Draw
Villarreal
65
rhs 2.0
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