We said: Cadiz 1-3 Villarreal
Villarreal are no strangers to dropping points in winnable games, having lost and drawn to Saturday's opponents last season.
Nonetheless, after the consistent start that Unai Emery's side have made, with the added incentive of getting back on track after recent dropped points, the visitors should be too strong.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.64%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.