Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.76%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.