MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:01:26| >> :600:215239:215239:
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Tele2 Arena

Djurgarden
3 - 1
Ilves

Sabovic (14'), Hummet (43'), Stahl (52')
Fjeld Gulliksen (56'), Stahl (80'), Eriksson (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Riski (30')
Jorginho (85'), Akpudje (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Djurgardens IF and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ilves 1-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn
Sunday, August 11 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IFDrawIlves
58.1% (-0.109 -0.11) 21.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 19.94% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)43.33% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)65.72% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)14.63% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.25% (-0.122 -0.12)42.75% (0.123 0.12)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (0.019999999999996 0.02)35.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)72.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Djurgardens IF 58.09%
    Ilves 19.94%
    Draw 21.96%
Djurgardens IFDrawIlves
1-0 @ 10% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 58.09%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.94%

How you voted: Djurgarden vs Ilves

Djurgardens IF
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Ilves
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 5pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ilves
1-1
Djurgarden
Riski (66')
Haarala (18'), Pikkarainen (47')
Wikheim (58')
Sabovic (64')
rhs 2.0
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