MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 20:25:16| >> :60:637:637:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Tammelan Stadion

Ilves
2 - 1
Austria Vienna

Haarala (51'), Riski (88')
Ala-Myllymaki (67'), Haarala (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galvao (90')
Huskovic (29'), da Graca (31'), Bari (75'), Galvao (85')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ilves and Austria Vienna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ilves 3-2 VPS
Sunday, July 21 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 1-3 Porto
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
IlvesDrawAustria Vienna
31.36% (0.162 0.16) 23.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 44.69% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 60.01% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)42.09% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (-0.07 -0.07)64.5% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (0.064000000000007 0.06)25.85% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (0.088999999999999 0.09)60.83% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (-0.107 -0.11)19.06% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.34% (-0.18 -0.18)50.66% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 31.36%
    Austria Vienna 44.69%
    Draw 23.95%
IlvesDrawAustria Vienna
2-1 @ 7.47% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.36%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 44.69%

How you voted: Ilves vs Austria Vienna

Ilves
33.3%
Draw
13.3%
Austria Vienna
53.3%
15
rhs 2.0
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