Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ratinan Stadion
Ilves1 - 1Djurgarden
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Ilves and Djurgardens IF.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oulu 0-1 Ilves
Sunday, August 4 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, August 4 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-1 Goteborg
Sunday, August 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, August 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ilves | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
30.42% ( -0.34) | 23.16% ( -0.05) | 46.41% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 62.34% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.19% ( 0.03) | 38.81% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.88% ( 0.03) | 61.12% ( -0.03) |
Ilves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( -0.19) | 24.82% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% ( -0.27) | 59.41% ( 0.27) |
Djurgardens IF Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.92% ( 0.16) | 17.08% ( -0.16) |