Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
KF Ballkani	Draw	BATE Borisov
57.73% ( 10.28)	24.68% ( -1.81)	17.59% ( -8.48)

Both teams to score 42.99% (

-5.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72% (

-1.59)

57.27% (

1.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

-1.29)

78.11% (

1.28)

KF Ballkani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22% (

3.7)

19.78% (

-3.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17% (

5.67)

51.83% (

-5.67)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.59% (

-9.64)

46.4% (

9.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.97% (

-8.48)

82.03% (

8.47)

Score Analysis

KF Ballkani 57.72%

BATE Borisov 17.59%

Draw 24.68%

KF Ballkani	Draw	BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 14.87% ( 2.36) 2-0 @ 12.05% ( 2.99) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 2.13) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.62) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 1.05) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.46% Total : 57.72%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -1.09) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.98) Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -1.59) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -1.88) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -1.62) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.97) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.6) Other @ 1.42% Total : 17.59%