Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde3 - 0Varda SE
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Kisvarda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Molde | 17 | 20 | 39 |
2 | Lillestrom | 16 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Bodo/Glimt | 16 | 18 | 31 |
Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Kairat
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
Result | ||
Molde | Draw | Varda SE |
50.86% ( 0.09) | 22.06% ( -0.06) | 27.08% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.85% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.24% ( 0.26) | 35.76% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.17% ( 0.29) | 57.83% ( -0.29) |
Molde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( 0.12) | 14.36% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.77% ( 0.24) | 42.23% ( -0.24) |
Varda SE Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( 0.11) | 25.44% ( -0.11) |