MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 01:03:00| >> :120:53019:53019:
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UEFA Conference League
Molde logo
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
3 - 0
Varda SE

Hussain (63'), Fofana (80'), Linnes (82')
Breivik (62'), Hussain (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kravchenko (59'), Otvos (64'), Ilievski (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Molde and Kisvarda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

Last Six:
Last Game: Molde 3-0 Stromsgodset
Sunday, July 31 at 2.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Varda SE

Last Six:
    Last Game: Varda SE 1-0 Kairat
    Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

    Result
    MoldeDrawVarda SE
    50.86% (0.089999999999996 0.09) 22.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 27.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
    Both teams to score 63.85% (0.188 0.19)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    64.24% (0.25899999999999 0.26)35.76% (-0.258 -0.26)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    42.17% (0.286 0.29)57.83% (-0.286 -0.29)
    Molde Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    85.64% (0.123 0.12)14.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    57.77% (0.236 0.24)42.23% (-0.238 -0.24)
    Varda SE Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    74.55% (0.111 0.11)25.44% (-0.112 -0.11)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    39.73% (0.152 0.15)60.27% (-0.154 -0.15)
    Score Analysis
        Molde 50.86%
        Varda SE 27.08%
        Draw 22.06%
    MoldeDrawVarda SE
    2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
    1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
    2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
    3-1 @ 6.09% (0.021 0.02)
    3-0 @ 4.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    3-2 @ 4.17% (0.028 0.03)
    4-1 @ 2.96% (0.023 0.02)
    4-0 @ 2.16% (0.011 0.01)
    4-2 @ 2.02% (0.023 0.02)
    5-1 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
    4-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
    Other @ 3.55%
    Total : 50.86%
    		1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
    2-2 @ 6.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
    3-3 @ 1.9% (0.019 0.02)
    Other @ 0.35%
    Total : 22.06%
    		1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
    0-1 @ 5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
    0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
    2-3 @ 2.94% (0.016 0.02)
    0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
    1-4 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    2-4 @ 1.01% (0.009 0.01)
    Other @ 2.44%
    Total : 27.08%

    How you voted: Molde vs Varda SE

    Molde
    94.4%
    Draw
    5.6%
    Varda SE
    0.0%
    18
    rhs 2.0
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