Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Kairat had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Kairat win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.
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