Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 4pm UK
Gradska Plaza Stadium
Struga3 - 1Swift Hesperange
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Struga and Swift Hesperange.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 3-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Tuesday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Struga had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Struga win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Struga | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
| 29.77% | 27.01% | 43.22% |
| Both teams to score 49.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.28% | 55.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.14% | 76.86% |
| Struga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% | 33.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Swift Hesperange Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.58% | 60.42% |
| Score Analysis |
Struga 29.77%
Swift Hesperange 43.21%
Draw 27%
| Struga | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.21% |
How you voted: Struga vs Swift Hesperange
Struga
33.3%Draw
16.7%Swift Hesperange
50.0%12
Form Guide
