Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints1 - 1Swift Hesperange
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between The New Saints and Swift Hesperange.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Saints 0-2 Hacken
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberystwyth | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Bala Town | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Barry | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Cardiff MU | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Connah's Quay | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Haverfordwest | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Newtown | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | New Saints | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swift Hesperange win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Swift Hesperange |
56.36% ( 0.98) | 21.44% ( 0.08) | 22.2% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
