Aston Villa3 - 1Fulham
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
63.36% ( 0.96) | 19.87% ( -0.15) | 16.77% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.8) | 38.91% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.77% ( -0.85) | 61.22% ( 0.84) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( 0.02) | 11.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.05) | 36.77% ( -0.05) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( -1.43) | 36.44% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.76% ( -1.47) | 73.23% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.38)1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.06% Total : 63.36% | 1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.87% | 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.77% |
