Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.