Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta3 - 0Marseille
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Match Report
Atalanta BC book their spot in the Europa League final courtesy of a 3-0 win over Marseille in the second leg of their semi-final in Italy.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Atalanta
Monday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Monday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Atalanta
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Marseille |
51.28% ( -0) | 23.83% | 24.88% |
Both teams to score 55.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.1% | 45.9% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.79% | 68.21% ( -0) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( -0) | 17.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.27% ( -0) | 48.73% ( -0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% | 32.47% ( -0) |