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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Empoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Empoli

Pasalic (42' pen.), Lookman (51')
Scalvini (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luperto (24'), Kovalenko (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Empoli

Averaging over two goals per game on home turf this term, Atalanta are strong favourites to prevail despite being between two crucial cup contests. The hosts' forwards have found form and fitness, so Gian Piero Gasperini can afford to rotate his resources and still consign Empoli to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
68.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 18.6% (0.0040000000000013 0) 13.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)10.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.23% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)42.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.022000000000002 0.02)79.16% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.36%
    Empoli 13.03%
    Draw 18.6%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.17%
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 68.36%
1-1 @ 8.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
87.1%
Draw
11.3%
Empoli
1.6%
62
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Atalanta

Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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