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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Marseille

Toulouse
2 - 2
Marseille

Nicolaisen (45+2'), Gboho (82')
Diarra (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Onana (38'), Moumbagna (90+6')
Murillo (33'), Ounahi (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Benfica (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Marseille

 With both sides fairly equal in terms of league position, we are expecting a close match between Toulouse and Marseille at Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday. Les Violets have been afforded longer to prepare for this clash due to Les Olympiens' European exploits, and we reckon that the hosts will be good enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMarseille
34.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.61%39.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.00099999999999056 0)24.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 34.42%
    Marseille 39.97%
    Draw 25.6%
ToulouseDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Marseille

Toulouse
48.1%
Draw
18.5%
Marseille
33.3%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 5
Marseille
0-0
Toulouse
Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')
Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Toulouse
2-3
Marseille
Dallinga (3'), Onaiwu (87')
Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
6-1
Toulouse
Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Marseille
1-0
Toulouse
Payet (51')
Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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