Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
34.42% ( -0) | 25.61% | 39.97% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.33% ( 0) | 48.66% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.22% ( 0) | 70.77% ( -0) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% ( 0) | 27.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.45% ( -0) | 62.55% ( 0) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% ( 0) | 24.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.67% ( 0) | 58.32% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |