Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for AZ had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest AZ win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Napoli |
| 34.11% | 27.17% | 38.72% |
| Both teams to score 50.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% | 55.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% | 76.42% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% | 30.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.24% | 66.76% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% | 27.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.7% | 63.3% |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 34.11%
Napoli 38.72%
Draw 27.16%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.11% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.72% |
How you voted: AZ vs Napoli
AZ
20.7%Draw
26.2%Napoli
53.1%416
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2020 5.55pm
