Serie A | Gameweek 9
Nov 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Napoli4 - 0Roma
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Roma |
| 41.15% | 23.86% | 34.99% |
| Both teams to score 61.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% | 40.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% | 62.84% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% | 19.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.93% | 52.08% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% | 22.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.24% | 56.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 41.15%
Roma 34.99%
Draw 23.86%
| Napoli | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.09% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.99% |
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 30
Napoli
2-1
Roma
Nov 2, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Napoli
Oct 28, 2018 7.30pm
