MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:31:05| >> :120:55897:55897:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Belgium national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Wales national football team

Belgium
2 - 1
Wales

De Bruyne (10'), Batshuayi (37')
Martinez (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moore (50')
Mepham (49'), Ampadu (59'), Bale (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Poland 0-1 Belgium
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Wales

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Netherlands 3-2 Wales
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Belgium 2-0 Wales

 With these two teams extremely familiar with each other, we anticipate this fixture remaining competitive throughout the 90 minutes. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Belgium on familiar territory, Martinez's men potentially making sure of the three points during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Wales had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.64%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
BelgiumDrawWales
54.85% (0.108 0.11) 20.88% (-0.126 -0.13) 24.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.22% (0.503 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.3% (0.646 0.65)32.7% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.62% (0.744 0.74)54.38% (-0.745 -0.75)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.242 0.24)12.1% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (0.511 0.51)37.65% (-0.511 -0.51)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.369 0.37)25.81% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.497 0.5)60.77% (-0.498 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 54.85%
    Wales 24.26%
    Draw 20.88%
BelgiumDrawWales
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.5% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.23% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Belgium vs Wales

Belgium
82.7%
Draw
11.4%
Wales
5.9%
289
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A4
Wales
1-1
Belgium
Johnson (86')
Rodon (55'), Norrington-Davies (68')
Tielemans (51')
Carrasco (45+1'), Theate (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Group E
Wales
1-1
Belgium
Moore (32')
Morrell (34'), Moore (80')
De Bruyne (12')
Hazard (71'), Saelemaekers (75'), Dendoncker (82')
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Group E
Belgium
3-1
Wales
De Bruyne (22'), Hazard (28'), Lukaku (73' pen.)
Hazard (75')
Wilson (10')
Jul 1, 2016 8pm
Wales
3-1
Belgium
Williams (31'), Robson-Kanu (55'), Vokes (86')
Davies (5'), Chester (16'), Gunter (24'), Ramsey (75')
Nainggolan (13')
Fellaini (59'), Alderweireld (85')
> Match Report
Jun 12, 2015 7.45pm
Group B
Wales
1-0
Belgium
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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