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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Feb 5, 2025 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Arsenal logo

Newcastle
vs.
Arsenal

Coverage of the EFL Cup Semi-Finals clash between Newcastle United and Arsenal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Newcastle
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Next Game: Newcastle vs. Fulham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Arsenal

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Next Game: Girona vs. Arsenal
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 32.64% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.51%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
32.64% (-1.689 -1.69) 24.63% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 42.73% (1.732 1.73)
Both teams to score 58.19% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.256 -0.26)44.72% (0.255 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-0.25 -0.25)67.08% (0.247 0.25)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-1.132 -1.13)26.33% (1.129 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (-1.533 -1.53)61.47% (1.53 1.53)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (0.7 0.7)21% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (1.08 1.08)53.78% (-1.083 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 32.64%
    Arsenal 42.73%
    Draw 24.62%
Newcastle UnitedDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.252 -0.25)
1-0 @ 7.38% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.64%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.62%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.189 0.19)
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.274 0.27)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.351 0.35)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.194 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.125 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.73%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Arsenal
0-2
Newcastle

Zinchenko (81')
Isak (38'), Gordon (51')
Joelinton (42'), Gordon (55'), Livramento (90+5')
> Match Report
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Isak (12')
Schar (39'), Willock (62'), Tonali (71'), Pope (90+4')

Merino (56'), Maduro (66'), Jorginho (88'), Havertz (90+7')
> Match Report
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Arsenal
4-1
Newcastle
Botman (18' og.), Havertz (24'), Saka (65'), Kiwior (69')
Odegaard (7')
Willock (84')
> Match Report
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Gordon (64')
Gordon (37'), Longstaff (38'), Schar (38'), Guimaraes (88'), Livramento (90+1')

Havertz (37')
> Match Report
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 35
Newcastle
0-2
Arsenal
Odegaard (14'), Schar (71' og.)
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376
> Premier League Full Table


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