MX23RW : Monday, September 16 20:02:38| >> :600:1480400:1480400:
Romania national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Arena
Ukraine national football team

Romania
3 - 0
Ukraine

Stanciu (29'), Marin (53'), Dragus (57')
Marin (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Konoplya (67')

The Match

Match Report

Roaring Romania record only their second-ever European Championship victory, smashing Ukraine 3-0 during their Euro 2024 opener at the Allianz Arena in Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro 2024 clash between Romania and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Ukraine could line up for Monday's Euro 2024 clash with Romania.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Romania 0-0 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 7 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Moldova 0-4 Ukraine
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawUkraine
48.54% (-0.371 -0.37) 27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 24.46% (0.468 0.47)
Both teams to score 45.61% (0.682 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.42% (0.655 0.66)58.58% (-0.651 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86% (0.507 0.51)79.14% (-0.504 -0.5)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.11800000000001 0.12)24.23% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (0.163 0.16)58.58% (-0.157 -0.16)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.2% (0.807 0.81)39.8% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.53% (0.735 0.73)76.47% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Romania 48.54%
    Ukraine 24.46%
    Draw 27%
RomaniaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.22% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 48.54%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.65% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: Romania vs Ukraine

Romania
20.9%
Draw
20.5%
Ukraine
58.6%
845
rhs 2.0
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