Rayo Vallecano

3 - 1

Osasuna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.