MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:45:33| >> :60:502:502:
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FA Cup
Aston Villa logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Stevenage

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Stevenage

Sanson (33')
Dendoncker (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reid (88' pen.), Campbell (90')

The Match

Match Report

Stevenage launch a stunning late fightback to defeat Premier League side Aston Villa by a 2-1 scoreline in the FA Cup third round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Wolves
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League

Stevenage

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawStevenage
47.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.24% (0.142 0.14) 27.83% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.75% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.733 -0.73)45.39% (0.738 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.705 -0.7)67.72% (0.711 0.71)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)19.04% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (-0.478 -0.48)50.62% (0.484 0.48)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.483 -0.48)29.9% (0.49 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.591 -0.59)66% (0.595 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 47.93%
    Stevenage 27.83%
    Draw 24.23%
Aston VillaDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.83%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Stevenage

Aston Villa
75.0%
Draw
14.3%
Stevenage
10.7%
56
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


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