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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Crawley Town

Stevenage
3 - 1
Crawley

Roberts (10'), Piergianni (40', 83')
Gilbey (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Telford (89' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 27 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Sutton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Crawley Town

Stevenage have won nine of their 11 home games this term, and we think that they will record another victory when they face a Crawley side who are still searching for their first away win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
69.08% (0.12599999999999 0.13) 19.12% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 11.79% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.31% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (0.143 0.14)46.46% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (0.135 0.13)68.73% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.33% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.86% (0.16 0.16)38.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68% (-0.012 -0.01)48.31% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 69.07%
    Crawley Town 11.79%
    Draw 19.12%
StevenageDrawCrawley Town
2-0 @ 13.04%
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.12%
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.79%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Crawley

Stevenage
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Crawley Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Stevenage
Nadesan (47')
Craig (14')
Roberts (24'), Norris (85' pen.)
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Crawley
2-2
Stevenage
Nichols (34', 46')
Tilley (61')
Read (80'), Cuthbert (90+2')
Clements (37')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Stevenage
2-1
Crawley
Taylor (29'), Norris (73')
Nichols (45+1')
Tilley (68'), Frost (77')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Crawley
Norris (21' pen., 74'), Read (81')
Prosser (53')
Francomb (24'), Vancooten (80' og.), Powell (90+2')
McNerney (77')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Crawley
0-1
Stevenage

Craig (27'), Nichols (60'), Dallison (81')
Osborne (83')
Norris (37'), Pett (47'), Prosser (60'), Wildin (69'), Lines (73'), Coker (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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